ZimDRRRisk Knowledge Platform

Data & Risk

Hazard & Risk Profiles8

Profiles of the hazards Zimbabwe faces — droughts, floods, cyclones, epidemics and more.

Very High

Agricultural & Hydrological Drought

Recurrent rainfall deficits driven by El Niño cycles devastate rain-fed agriculture, water supplies and livestock, triggering food insecurity across much of the country.

Frequency
Recurrent (every 2-3 years)
Trend
Increasing· climate-driven

Most affected provinces

MasvingoMatabeleland SouthMatabeleland NorthMidlandsManicaland
High

Disease Outbreaks

Cholera, typhoid and measles outbreaks linked to water, sanitation and hygiene gaps strain the health system, notably the 2008-09 and 2018 cholera epidemics.

Frequency
Recurrent
Trend
Stable

Most affected provinces

HarareBulawayoManicaland
Medium

Fall Armyworm & Pests

Fall armyworm and quelea bird invasions periodically threaten staple maize and small-grain harvests.

Frequency
Recurrent
Trend
Stable

Most affected provinces

Mashonaland CentralMashonaland WestMidlands
Medium

Heatwaves

Rising temperatures increase heat stress on people, livestock and crops, compounding drought impacts.

Frequency
Increasing
Trend
Increasing· climate-driven

Most affected provinces

Matabeleland SouthMasvingo
High

Riverine & Flash Floods

Seasonal flooding of the Save, Runde and Zambezi basins damages infrastructure, displaces communities and disrupts livelihoods, often following tropical systems.

Frequency
Seasonal (Nov-Mar)
Trend
Increasing· climate-driven

Most affected provinces

ManicalandMasvingoMashonaland CentralMatabeleland North
Medium

Severe Storms & Hail

Localised hailstorms and violent thunderstorms damage crops, roofs and power infrastructure during the rainy season.

Frequency
Seasonal
Trend
Stable· climate-driven

Most affected provinces

Mashonaland EastManicalandHarare
Very High

Tropical Cyclones & Storms

Systems such as Cyclone Idai (2019) bring extreme rainfall, landslides and destruction to eastern Zimbabwe, causing the deadliest recent disasters.

Frequency
Occasional (1-2 per decade, severe)
Trend
Increasing· climate-driven

Most affected provinces

ManicalandMasvingo
Medium

Veld & Bush Fires

Dry-season fires destroy grazing land, plantations, property and biodiversity, worsened by prolonged dry spells.

Frequency
Seasonal (Aug-Oct)
Trend
Stable· climate-driven

Most affected provinces

Mashonaland WestMashonaland EastManicalandMidlands